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Fact
Files > Quadrennial Defense Review Report |
Title 10,
Section 118 of the United States Code specifies: "The
Secretary of Defense shall every four years, during a year
following a year evenly divisible by four, conduct a
comprehensive examination (to be known as a "quadrennial
defense review") of the national defense strategy, force
structure, force modernization plans, infrastructure, budget
plan, and other elements of the defense program and policies
of the United States with a view toward determining and
expressing the defense strategy of the United States and
establishing a defense program for the next 20 years. Each
such quadrennial defense review shall be conducted in
consultation with the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff."
QDR legislation was amended by the 2003 National Defense
Authorization Act, which stipulated that the due date for the
report is "in the year following the year in which the review
is conducted, but not later than the date on which the
President submits the budget for the next fiscal year to
Congress." |
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Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) Report 2006 |
QDR
Dominated by Uncertain, Unpredictable World
By
Jim Garamone
American Forces Press Service
WASHINGTON, Jan. 25, 2006 - The
Quadrennial Defense Review
(PDF), to
be delivered to Congress Feb. 6, will be dominated by two
words: uncertainty and unpredictability, senior defense
officials said today.
"We cannot predict with any certainty whatsoever how our
forces may be used in the future," one official said. "We can
say with a very high probability that in the next 10 years,
U.S. forces will be employed somewhere in the world where they
are not today."
Speaking on background, the officials said the attacks of
Sept. 11, 2001, forced a change in U.S. security and military
strategies. While transforming the Defense Department was
already a priority, the attacks imposed a "powerful sense of
urgency" on all in the department.
The United States is now in the fifth year of a different war,
and "we need to shift our balance and (the) capabilities we
have," one official said.
Congress mandates that DoD conduct the QDR every four years to
ensure the armed forces have the right mix of people, skill
sets and capabilities to meet current and future challenges to
national security.
The officials said the 2005 review discusses four major
challenges. The first is threats posed by traditional foes.
"This basically involved major combat ops and state versus
state conflicts, and we looked at everything else as a lesser
included case to be able to meet that," one official said.
In the future, irregular challenges will be more common. The
official cited Iraq and Afghanistan as examples of irregular
threats facing the United States, but included operations in
areas such as the Horn of Africa, the Philippines and Haiti in
this challenge. The enemy in this case would be within the
state, but not sponsored by the state.
A third challenge is what he called a "catastrophic set of
challenges." These are unacceptable blows to the United States
and attacks such as Sept. 11 or Pearl Harbor. "Getting hit by
a nuclear (improvised explosive device) in one of our cities
would be an example of that," the official said.
The fourth is a "disruptive" challenge. "That is a challenge
or threat that would come against us and neutralize the
American military as a key instrument of national power," he
said.
The review looked at developing military capabilities to
address all four challenges.
A second part of the review was a recognition that changing
the makeup of forces in the field would mean revamping
headquarters. He said the current headquarters setups are not
sufficiently agile to command the fighting forces America has
already deployed.
This review capitalized on the lessons the U.S. military has
learned around the world. Lessons from experiences in the Horn
of Africa, Georgia and Africa's Pan Sahel region figured
prominently because of the new way America had to deal with
allies. Developing capabilities in allies is as important as
developing capabilities in the U.S. military, the officials
said.
Humanitarian operations are another big area for the American
military. The officials said that the "biggest victories to
date in the war on terrorism" have been in the U.S. response
to the tsunami in the Indian Ocean and to the earthquake in
Pakistan. As a result of those operations the "shift away from
radical Islam has been very, very significant," the official
said.
Building capabilities and agility is more important than
confronting specific threats from specific countries.
The review focuses on four areas:
Providing
defense in depth to the homeland;
Hastening
the demise of terror networks;
Stopping
hostile powers or rogue elements from acquiring weapons of
mass destruction; and
Influencing
countries at strategic crossroads.
The review looks to influence three countries that officials
believe to be at these strategic crossroads: Russia, China and
India.
The review has 12 areas that cover everything from
headquarters functions, to partnership capabilities, to
recommending "leading edge technologies" that could help
warfighters in the fiscal 2007 budget request. The officials
stressed that major shifts in acquisition funding must be part
of the Future Years Defense Plan.
Finally, the force-planning construct is basically a refined
version of the 2001 review. The U.S. military will be able to
do two near simultaneous major conflicts, one of which
involves regime change, one official said.
"Going forward, we want one of them to be a prolonged
irregular campaign," he said. "The analysis we did in the QDR
clearly proved that the most stressing thing on the force is
not the high-intensity major combat operations, but the
prolonged irregular campaign that requires a rotational base
to support it." |
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